Despite bullish GDP estimates showing steady economic growth, Goldman Sachs economists warn that employment indicators have deteriorated to their worst non-recession levels in 50 years. The analysis suggests business frontloading due to tariff concerns may be distorting growth figures while underlying labor conditions continue weakening.
Economic Optimism Meets Labor Market Reality
Recent bullish GDP estimates pointing to sustained American economic growth may be presenting an overly optimistic picture, according to analysis from Goldman Sachs. Sources indicate that while official growth projections have strengthened during the government shutdown, underlying employment data suggests significant weakness that could ultimately drag down the economic outlook.